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Open Access Articles- Top Results for Labour Party (UK) leadership election, 2015

Labour Party (UK) leadership election, 2015

Template:Infobox Election

The 2015 Labour Party leadership election was triggered on 8 May 2015 by the resignation of Ed Miliband as Leader of the Labour Party of the United Kingdom following the party's defeat at the 2015 general election.

Harriet Harman, the Deputy Leader of the Labour Party, became Acting Leader following Miliband's resignation. Harman announced on the same day that she would be stepping down as Deputy Leader, with her resignation taking effect when the new Leader and Deputy Leader are elected.[1]

Procedure

The leadership election, triggered by Ed Miliband's resignation, will happen under the reformed rules adopted from the proposals of the February 2014 Collins Report, which was led by Ray Collins, Baron Collins of Highbury.[2] The plan entails a shorter election than the one that took place in 2010, with a new leader being in place before Labour's party conference in September 2015.[3]

The review changed the way in which Labour elects leaders. Under the former system, a three-way electoral college chose the leader, with one-third weight given to the votes of the Parliamentary Labour Party (i.e., Labour members of the House of Commons) and Labour members of the European Parliament, one-third to individual Labour Party members, and one third to the trade union and affiliated societies sections. Following the Collins review, the electoral college was replaced by a pure "one member, one vote" (OMOV) system. Candidates will be elected by members and registered and affiliated supporters, who will all receive a maximum of one vote and all votes will be weighted equally. This means that, for example, members of Labour-affiliated trade unions will need to additionally register as Labour supporters in order to vote.

In order to stand, candidates will need to be nominated by at least 15% of the Parliamentary Labour Party (PLP) – now 35 MPs. The vote, as in previous elections, will be held by the alternative vote (instant-runoff) system. The deputy leadership election will be held under the same rules.

Timetable

A meeting of Labour's National Executive Committee took place on 13 May 2015 to set a timetable and procedure for the two elections.[4]

  • Tuesday 9 June 2015 - Nominations open
  • Monday 15 June 2015 (12:00) - Nominations for the Leader close
  • Wednesday 17 June 2015 (12:00) - Nominations for the Deputy Leader close
  • Wednesday 17 June 2015 (12:00) - Hustings period opens
  • Friday 31 July 2015 (12:00) - Supporting nominations close
  • Wednesday 12 August 2015 (12:00) - Last date to join as member, affiliated support or registered supporter and be able to vote
  • Friday 14 August 2015 - Ballot papers are sent out
  • Thursday 10 September 2015 (12:00) - Ballot closes
  • Saturday 12 September 2015 - Special Conference to announce the results

Candidates

Declared

Potential

Withdrawn

Declined

MP endorsements for candidates

To be placed on the ballot, candidates for leader must obtain the nominations of 35 MPs. Public endorsements for candidates by MPs are, so far:[42] The number of MPs next to the candidate's name includes the actual candidate too, as they will count as one of the 35 MPs needed.

Odds of winning

Overview table of odds for the four declared candidates
Candidate 8 May
(William Hill)[49]
9 May
(Ladbrokes)[50]
18 May
(William Hill)[51]
19 May

(The Metro)[52]

28 May

(Daily Express)[53]

Andy Burnham 5/2 11/4 6/5 10/11 10/11
Yvette Cooper 3/1 5/1 3/1 3/1 5/1
Mary Creagh - - 16/1 18/1 50/1
Liz Kendall 18/1 14/1 11/4 7/2 6/4

8 May

The morning after the general election, the British bookmaker William Hill gave the following odds for next Labour leader: 7/4 Chuka Umunna; 5/2 Andy Burnham; 3/1 Yvette Cooper; 8/1 Dan Jarvis; 12/1 David Miliband; 12/1 Tristram Hunt; 18/1 Liz Kendall; 18/1 Rachel Reeves; 20/1 Alan Johnson; and 25/1 Stella Creasy.[49]

9 May

On the afternoon of 9 May, the British bookmaker Ladbrokes offered the following odds: Chuka Umunna 13/8; Andy Burnham 11/4; Dan Jarvis 9/2; Yvette Cooper 5/1; Liz Kendall 14/1; Tristram Hunt 14/1; David Miliband 20/1; Stella Creasey 20/1, Harriet Harman 25/1, Rachel Reeves 25/1, Lisa Nandy 25/1, Alan Johnson 33/1, Owen Smith 33/1, and Keir Starmer 33/1.[50]

18 May

On the evening of 18 May, the British bookmaker William Hill gave the following odds for leader: Andy Burnham 6/5; Liz Kendall 11/4; Yvette Cooper 3/1; Tristram Hunt; 11/1; Mary Creagh 16/1.[51]

19 May

On 19 May, the Metro reported the odds for 5 likely leadership candidates for the time: Andy Burnham 10/11; Yvette Cooper 3/1; Liz Kendall 7/2; Tristram Hunt 14/1; Mary Creagh 18/1.[52]

28 May

On 28 May, the Daily Express reported the odds for all 4 confirmed candidates and Tony Blair (after he resigned as Middle East peace envoy): Andy Burnham 10/11; Liz Kendall 6/4; Yvette Cooper 5/1; Mary Creagh 50/1; Tony Blair 50/1.[53]

Public polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Andy
Burnham
Yvette
Cooper
Mary
Creagh
Tristram
Hunt
Dan
Jarvis
Liz
Kendall
David
Miliband
Rachel
Reeves
Chuka
Umunna
Undecided
or Other
Survation/The Mail on Sunday[54][55] 8–9 May 2015 329 Labour voters[a] ± ? 20.9% 13.1% 5.4% 7.7% 4.5% 6.4% 16.2% 25.8%
17.4% 10.8% 3.2% 7% 4.5% 23.8% 1.9% 15.9% 15.6%
1,027 British residents[b] ± 2.1% 14.1% 11.2% 6% 6.4% 5.1% 4.2% 12.2% 40.6%
12.4% 8.4% 5.8% 6.2% 4.5% 17.8% 3.1% 11% 30.8%
  1. ^ Persons who voted Labour in 2015 general election.
  2. ^ Residents over 18 in Great Britain

See also

References

  1. ^ Cathy Owen, General Election 2015: Harriet Harman announces that she will be standing down as deputy leader of the Labour Party Wales Online (8 May 2015).
  2. ^ Ray Collins, 'Building a One Nation Labour Party: The Collins Review into Labour Party Reform (February 2014).
  3. ^ Pope, Conor (8 May 2015). "How will the leadership election work?". LabourList. Retrieved 8 May 2015. 
  4. ^ a b "Labour leadership election in September". BBC News. 13 May 2015. Retrieved 13 May 2015. 
  5. ^ Beattie, Jason (2015-05-13). "Andy Burnham announces he's standing for Labour leadership with video message vowing to 'rediscover beating heart of party'". Daily Mirror. Retrieved 2015-05-13. 
  6. ^ "Yvette Cooper is standing for Labour leadership, she tells Daily Mirror exclusively". Daily Mirror. 2015-05-13. Retrieved 2015-05-13. 
  7. ^ Robert Hutton, Mary Creagh Said to Be Joining U.K. Labour Leadership Race, Bloomberg (May 14, 2015).
  8. ^ Tim Shipman, Blairite Liz in race to be Labour leader, Sunday Times (10 May 2015).
  9. ^ Liz Kendall confirms Labour leadership bid, BBC News (10 May 2015).
  10. ^ http://www.buzzfeed.com/jimwaterson/labour-mp-jamie-reed-confirms-he-is-considering-le
  11. ^ "Liz Kendall endorsed by Chuka Umunna". BBC News. 2015-05-26. Retrieved 2015-05-26. 
  12. ^ "Chuka Umunna Announces Labour Leadership Bid". Sky News. 2015-05-12. Retrieved 2015-05-12. 
  13. ^ Chuka Umunna withdraws Labour leader bid- BBC News (retrieved 15 May 2015)
  14. ^ Tristram Hunt backs Liz Kendall for Labour leadership, BBC News.
  15. ^ Patrick Wintour, Tristram Hunt withdraws from Labour leadership race, Guardian (20 May 2015)
  16. ^ McMullin, Kate (2015-05-08). "Leigh MP Andy Burnham favourite to take over as Labour leader after Ed Miliband resigns". The Bolton News. Retrieved 2015-05-08. 
  17. ^ Pippa Crerar (13 May 2015). "Labour MP Diane Abbott announces her bid to run for Mayor of London". London Evening Standard. Retrieved 13 May 2015. 
  18. ^ http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-32654262
  19. ^ "11/05/2015 Newsnight". Newsnight. 11 May 2015. Event occurs at 22:57. BBC Two. 
  20. ^ Hayward, Stephen (2015-05-16). "Stella Creasy confirms she's running for Labour deputy leader: 'Party must return to fighting poverty, inequality and injustice'". Daily Mirror. Retrieved 2015-05-16. 
  21. ^ Nick Duffy, [1], PinkNews (May 9, 2015).
  22. ^ Liam Murphy, "Wallasey MP Angela Eagle joins race to be Labour's deputy leader", Liverpool Echo (May 18, 2015).
  23. ^ Bush, Stephen (10 May 2015). "Dan Jarvis rules himself out of the Labour leadership race". New Statesman. Progressive Media International. Retrieved 10 May 2015. 
  24. ^ Joe Churcher, Labour leadership: Dan Jarvis rules himself out of race - saying he won't do it because of his kids, Independent (May 10, 2015).
  25. ^ Wintour, Patrick (18 May 2015). "Andy Burnham backed by Dan Jarvis in Labour leadership race". The Guardian. Retrieved 20 May 2015. 
  26. ^ Alan Johnson, When that Question Time audience turned on Ed Miliband, the die was cast, Guardian (May 8, 2015).
  27. ^ a b "David Lammy considers Labour leadership bid". BBC. Retrieved 8 May 2015. 
  28. ^ Elizabeth Pears, David Lammy rules himself out of Labour leadership race, The Voice (May 11, 2015).
  29. ^ "Ian Lavery Backs Burnham For Leader". 2015-05-14. Retrieved 2015-05-14. 
  30. ^ "Ian Lavery to support Andy Burnham as Labour leader". ITV News. 14 May 2015. Retrieved 20 May 2015. 
  31. ^ Miner Lavery Tipped For Leaders’ Race, Morning Star (May 12, 2015).
  32. ^ Bartlett, David (2015-05-08). "Who will be the next Labour leader now Ed Miliband has resigned?". Retrieved 2015-05-08. 
  33. ^ a b "List of MPs’ endorsements of the Labour leadership candidates". New Statesman. 22 May 2015. Retrieved 23 May 2015. 
  34. ^ Philip Sherwell, David Miliband to address political future on Monday, Telegraph (May 11, 2015).
  35. ^ Rebecca Perring, David Miliband blasts Ed's Labour leadership as he rules out running for party's top job, Express (May 11, 2015).
  36. ^ David Miliband criticises brother's election approach, BBC News (May 11, 2015).
  37. ^ Hardman, Isabel (2015-05-08). "Labour leadership campaign: who might have a pop?". Retrieved 2015-05-08. 
  38. ^ Eaton, George (17 May 2015). "Another boost for Burnham as he wins Rachel Reeves's support". New Statesman. Retrieved 20 May 2015. 
  39. ^ "Andy Burnham can revive Labour, says MP Owen Smith". 2015-05-17. Retrieved 2015-05-17. 
  40. ^ Caroline Davies (17 May 2015). "Keir Starmer rules himself out of Labour leadership contest". The Guardian. Retrieved 17 May 2015. 
  41. ^ [2], Twitter (May 14, 2015).
  42. ^ a b c d e List of MPs' endorsements of the Labour leadership candidates, New Statesman (May 22, 2015).
  43. ^ . LabourList. 2015-05-31 http://labourlist.org/2015/05/andy-burnham-surpasses-35-endorsement-mark-with-backing-from-new-mps/. Retrieved 2015-05-31.  Missing or empty |title= (help)
  44. ^ "BBC News". current series as of 26 May 2015. 26 May 2015. Event occurs at 12:14. BBC News Channel. 
  45. ^ https://twitter.com/coyleneil/status/602076212983418880/
  46. ^ http://www.newstatesman.com/staggers/2015/05/all-leadership-candidates-are-good-theres-something-about-mary
  47. ^ https://corporate.sky.com/media-centre/media-packs/2015/murnaghan-interview-with-mary-creagh,-labour-mp-and-leadership-candidate,-240515/
  48. ^ https://twitter.com/Anth0ny_Ward/status/604303010643218432
  49. ^ a b Edward Malnick, Who will replace Ed Miliband as Labour leader?, Telegraph (May 8, 2015).
  50. ^ a b Rosa Prince, [3], Telegraph (May 9, 2015).
  51. ^ a b Odds on Leicester West's Liz Kendall becoming next Labour leader shorten to 11/4, Leicester Mercury.
  52. ^ a b Readhead, Harry (19 May 2015). "Awkward: The Labour leadership candidates are all white and Oxbridge-educated". The Metro. Retrieved 28 May 2015. 
  53. ^ a b Virtue, Rob (28 May 2015). "Tony Blair to be next Labour leader? Odds slashed on former PM's return to the party". Daily Express. Retrieved 28 May 2015. 
  54. ^ First poll shows Labour leadership contest remains wide open, LabourList (10 May 2015).
  55. ^ [4]

External links

Official Website of the Labour Party

Campaign websites